Comex压制金价已近极限，6月期权面临重大违约，黄金可能会有强势逐渐发动？ [转帖 2009-05-29 12:19:54]
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另有黄金分析大腕 Jim Sinclair 也预言6月起黄金会有强势逐渐发动。

http://jsmineset.com/

The stairs on the Golden Ladder that will be climbed are:

$900
$961
$1024
$1089
$1156
$1224

The steps on the USDX us dollar are:

.8200
.7200
.6200
.5200

The timing was April 19th and middle June to establish the launch period.

Predictions:

1. Gold reacts as currency support for the dollar enters mid June to a slow decline (that is the official definition of a strong dollar policy, really).
2. End of 2nd week going into the beginning of the 3rd week of June Gold launches towards and this time through the neckline of the reverse head and shoulders formation.
3. Gold rises to $1224 where it hesitates.
4. The OTC derivative market takes on the dollar as short sellers into dollar support.
5. This OTC derivative currency short position builds.
6. It is the US dollar where Armstrong will get his WATERFALL.
7. The main selling takes place when Israel makes a major miscalculation.
8. Hyperinflation is always and will continue to be a currency event.
9. Hyperinflation will be a product of the upcoming massive OTC derivative short dollar raid.

Should I be correct in the gold price action going into late June, it will fit Armstrong’s criterion for a move to $5000.

Alf’s work permits an over-run of the gold price to $3500 in the major 3rd phase, indicating overruns into the major 5th.







http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article10935.html

COMEX Gold Price Manipulation Stress Near Breaking Point
May 28, 2009 - 01:08 AM By: Jim_Willie_CB


Major dislocations are coming. Tremendous disruptions are coming. Price discontinuities are coming. Price chart patterns might be rendered useless soon. Last week, the case for a grand Paradigm Shift was made, covering many elements in order to paint a mosaic. Taken in isolation, any one point is important in its own right, but not enough to convince of a structural change. Taken in entirety, the many points create a full picture that is more easily recognized. The ruinous events of the Wall Street banks last September and October surely served as an extreme event loaded with profound disruption.




The Chinese have proceeded with a transition to yuan-based domestic banking, with an installation of yuan swap facilities around the world, with an ASEAN regional fund again supplied by yuan for flexible purposes, with permission granted to two Hong Kong banks to sell yuan-based bonds, with an admitted rise in significant gold bullion reserves, and with continued verbal battles over legitimacy of the USDollar as the global reserve currency. These Chinese initiatives in recent weeks, occurring rapidly, are serving as a collective extreme event with the potential for profound disruption.

A gold-backed yuan currency would surely cause massive disruption in a climax merger of events. The barter system set up between Russia and Europe will bypass the US$-based settlement system, as will the barter system set up between Russia and China. The avoidance of contract settlement in USDollars would result in extreme disruption to the global banking system. The creditor nations are plotting to organize and launch alternative currencies, maybe to fortify existing currencies (like the euro or yuan or ruble) with a gold component, maybe also with a crude oil component. A challenge to the USDollar by asset-backed currencies would result in extreme disruption to the global banking system. The hidden nitroglycerine to the disruptions is the Russian military, and any pledges of support for nations attempted to force systemic changes. These are just some important examples of change agents.

All Paradigm Shifts result in extreme disruption. That is the essence of Paradigm Shifts. The entire table changes, like its shape, its seats, its location, even who sits at the table, and in particular who sits at the head of the table. Big disruptions are to come from the COMEX pit of corruption, the central nexus for controlling illicitly the price structure for gold, the USDollar, and the USTreasury Bonds. The COMEX in all likelihood is the weakest link in the US-UK chain of corrupted financial markets. For many months my view has been that gold fights the political battles, while silver gathers more than its share of rewards and spoils. Gold has a long history of experience fighting grand battles. It can be placed in dungeons, but not for more than a couple decades. The rot in financial systems without golden foundations forces gold to the surface!

THE HITMEN COMETH
It has come to my attention that several private parties have accepted contract assignments to neuter the COMEX and London Metals Exchange, to render ruin to its gold market. That bears repeating from the rooftops. MUTLIPLE HIRED HITMEN HAVE ASSIGNMENTS TO KILL THE COMEX GOLD MARKET. That is the lynchpin to control the USDollar, the USTreasurys, and the corrupt mechanisms used by the New York and London syndicates. Their clear criminal behavior is beyond the reach of law enforcement, but they are not beyond the reach of hitmen. The USDollar has been in violation of the US Constitution since 1971, perpetuated by a renegade series of administrations.

The global creditors for the USTreasury Bonds are so angry at the past suffered losses, the prospect of deep future losses, and the corruption laced throughout the US financial system, that they have hired third parties to kill off the US$-gold platforms, to destroy the burdensome banking ballast dominated by protected entrenched fraud experts, to lay waste to the vehicles used by the US-UK bond trafficking syndicate totally saturated with corruption, dishonesty, and collusion, replete with greed, totally absent conscience. They have systemically been dismantling the COMEX pillars and levers over the last several months, quietly and without fanfare, surely without publicity. If gold investors knew of their actions, they would become much bolder. Some want the bankers in their gunsights not to be warned. They await their fate with the Financial Grim Reaper. Their executions will be as swift as brutal.



The HITMEN have been hired, with highly lucrative contracts and wide berth in methods to be put to use. Their assigned task is to castrate the levered family jewels from some of the major players who illegally keep the gold price and silver price artificially low. The targeted victims know their awaited fate, and are presently defecating in their skivvies. A short list of banks facing the firing squad is already known, details for Hat Trick Letter members. Some detailed speculation will be devoted to the June HTL reports, since too controversial. This will be an evolving story, with new chapters soon written. The executions will be sudden.

The missing US-UK levers will be immediate. Since last autumn, the global powers have aligned against Wall Street, even if the central bankers have supported it. If one wants to destroy a building, then weaken its pillars, cut a few support beams, then rush in a crowd of people, and wait for a turbulent storm. In the case of the COMEX, the wicked players will crowd the corrupted building. They will sink into ruin and then oblivion. They might become objects of mockery when they make noises from prison. If lucky, they will join Ken Lay from Enron fame in a remote Caribbean island where other favored operators live a secluded life, but a life nonetheless, complete with plenty of sunshine, fresh air, beaches, bikinis, and sailboats, but no intrusive cameras. Please, do not disturb the quasi-dead!

The financial cartel dominated by the United States and United Kingdom is soon to suffer some serious blows. The list of their financial crimes is as magnificent as it is long. Its list of victims is as prominent as it is long. The harbored resentment is great by many global players. They waited patiently for the Obama Admin to install a new group, but the old group remains due to a revolving door from the same smoky club, dominated by Goldman Sachs once more. Their influence, if not bribery, of the USCongress is in continuation, sufficient for unwanted obsequious approval. The regulatory agencies are from the same encrusted chambers replete with stench. The Coup d’Etat of the USGovt financial offices has not changed with Obama, who sounds like a refreshing leader but who is actually a marionette under control by those who selected him, favored him with publicity, then enabled his election. Nothing has changed except the rhetoric of change and the pace on the path to bankruptcy for a few icon firms like General Motors and Chrysler, if not the desperate cries from the 50 states suffering from insolvency. More prominent failures will follow, since nothing has been remedied. The channeled funds directed to Wall Street firms continue unabated. The bread crumbs to Main Street and the people continue unabated. Even the war continues unabated. Forget not that Marie Antoinette once said “Let them eat cake” before the French Revolution and the Storming of the Bastille. Today, the Bastille is the entire USEconomy where insolvent Americans are stuck.

Some might wonder what was the turning point that resulted in hired hitmen to be under contract against certain US financial markets. Some might say the failures of Lehman Brothers, American Intl Group, and Fannie Mae. Not so! In my opinion, it was the invasion in the South Osettia region of Georgia in August 2008. The events around Georgia, with the United States Military deeply involved, along with a certain tiny mischievous ally nation, lit a fuse that set off a chain of events. In time, events led to orders given by high level powers, for the US fraud kings on Wall Street to swallow the medicine no later than first thing Monday morning on September 15th. When the Jackass inquired as to the nature of the urgency leading into that understood stated deadline date, no answer was given. The guess of the Bank For Intl Settlements was submitted by me, and it was confirmed.

Other sources, the USTreasury Bond creditors, also applied the pressure, it was told. Rumor was thick that death threats had been delivered to certain Wall Street executives, such as Paulson. Thus the pressure passed on to the USCongress for passage of T.A.R.P. funds. The disbursement of those funds have not been made public partly because Wall Street (read Goldman Sachs) does not want the US people to be aware of payoffs for bond fraud under death threats. Also, the Congressional Inspector has cited a few dozen recommendations for criminal fraud investigations of the same T.A.R.P. funds. The US financial sector has become a den of vipers, no longer the bastion of gentlemen, but rather of syndicate bosses.

COMEX STRESS NEAR A BREAKING POINT
Sources from GATA (the Gold Anti-Trust Action committee) report growing distress for participants in the COMEX gold contracts, where a commercial party is very short and in deep trouble. They have sold more gold bullion than they can deliver. They are likely one of the big banks who violate the law with impunity, with USGovt sanctioned protection. By that is meant they routinely do not post 90% of the metal as collateral that they illegally sell. This is naked shorting by any other name. There are reports of grave concern over the upcoming June gold option expiration. If too many deliveries are ordered, then the commercial shorts would be under stress for exposure for naked shorting. They will eventually be caught in a bind and default on contracts. The important loaded monthly contracts are March, June, September, and December. The COMEX has tried to limit the ability of buyers to take delivery, running them around in circles, and entangling them in red tape, all clearly restraint of trade endorsed by the USGovt. Such rules are not in effect for cotton or soybeans or crude oil or pork bellies. After all, a financial crime syndicate has taken control of the USGovt, ever since Robert Rubin took charge at the USDept Treasury in 1992. His major project was to gut the nation of its gold, for the private profit of his friends. Recall Rubin came from Goldman Sachs. Rubin was the author of the Strong Dollar Policy which brought ruin to the nation. Hey, just my opinion!

Background inventory strain has come from unexpected sources. The Germans have demanded that gold bullion held in US custodial accounts be returned to their owners, with physical gold shipped back to Germany. The Dubai bankers have demanded that gold bullion held in London custodial accounts be returned to their owners, with physical gold shipped back to the United Arab Emirates. They are following the hired German counsel. In all likelihood, neither US nor London sources are in possession of all the gold held in those custodial accounts, since at least some of it probably was improperly leased. By that is meant without owner permission or knowledge. So an uproar could come soon with charges of gold bullion theft, or at least failure of fiduciary responsibility. Theft is a simpler description.

China is the biggest gold producer in the world now, but none of its output is directed to the open market. Russia is a significant gold producer also, but none of its output is directed to the open market either. A near default occurred in early April from a close call to Deutsche Bank on 850 thousand ounces of gold. The tarnished bankers at D-Bank dug up over a million ounces on the quick from the ready Euro Central Bank mine shifts in the nick of time. Never ignore the basic fact that COMEX lies through its teeth about the gold bullion in its vaults, since audits do not occur, some is leased (replaced by paper certificates), and some is committed in some fashion to very wealthy parties (unavailable). Far less gold bullion rests in COMEX vaults than is advertised. All signals point to serious strain in COMEX gold supply.

FEEDERS FOR GOLD FULLY LOADED
Two important feeder systems continue to be USDollar weakness and USTreasury Bond weakness. More important than these is the systematic ruin of the major global currencies generally, but a convenient chart is not offered to track it. Just note the near 0% official rates dictated by the failed franchised Politburos known as central banks in most countries, or the movement toward 0%. The USDollar has broken below important support at 81. Expect it to fall further after more dithering. The long-term USTreasury Note has suffered a fast rising surge in its bond yield. Its target from different perspectives is 4.1%, and right quick. These two highly favorable charts will power the gold price to new highs very soon. Nobody knows how soon, but soon. Rarely does one see both the USDollar and USTreasurys fall in value simultaneously. They are now, and will provide a jet assist to gold, which is held back only by COMEX corruption. Their illicit maneuvers are more obvious and desperate with each passing week. Someday their actions might even be on the news. The imminent Standard & Poors debt downgrade of the UKGilt (bonds from British Govt) hit the credit market last week like a bolt of lightning. My belief is that it might have short-circuited the US-UK financial foundation, and burned out some major circuit boards. The US and UK share Third World finance characteristics. If a Fourth World existed, the US would merit it.



The gold price is on the verge of a breakout to new nominal highs. The chart demands it. It needs only a trigger, in a land where potential triggers dot the charred landscape. A gold event will be unavoidable. Its chronic strain has derived from the extreme disparities between the physical market mired in shortage, versus the paper market with unlimited supply. The tail is wagging the dog here, as it has been for years, soon to end. The silver price will easily recover to the 17 level in a flash. It has already surpassed the February high. It is loading up for the next little surge to resistance that awaits at the 17-19 range. The potential sling shot momentum boost for silver will be powerful, enough to send its price to 30 with ease. Think pendulum.

NOW FACTOR IN DISRUPTIVE EVENTS, THE PRICE DISLOCATIONS, AND THE OVER-ARCHING PARADIGM SHIFT IN PROGRESS. THE GOLD PRICE COULD REACH 1300 SUDDENLY. WITH EXTREME CONTROVERSY FROM COMEX, LIKE DELIVERY DEFAULTS, PUBLICIZED CORRUPTION, AND EVEN FRAUD INDICTMENTS, THE GOLD PRICE COULD OVER-RUN THE 1300 TARGET AND HEAD FOR 1500 AND BEYOND. SILVER COULD AS A RESULT FOLLOW ITS WARRIOR BROTHER, HEAD PAST 20 IN A FLASH, AND PURSUE 30 EASILY.



Little attention has been given lately to one of the most reliable time-tested forward indicators of the gold price. The ratio of the 10-year USTreasury Note yield to the 2-year USTreasury Bill yield has always been highly reliable in predicting a move in the gold price. The simple chart of bond yields versus maturity years is known better as the Treasury Yield Curve. The ratio is more amenable to chart analysis. A breakout in the Treasury Yield Ratio is in progress. All benefits from the mid-March monetization announcement have vanished. If the 2-year bond yield remains near 1%, where it appears stuck, then the breakout target would indicate that the 10-year bond yield is heading to 4.1% at least. Yet another method targets 4.1% in the long bond yield. The presented ratio contains information on the future prospect of price inflation, in a reliable contrast of time perspectives. Knuckleheads who insist on pounding the Deflation Tables might want to check this indicator, and look at the crude oil price. It is $63 per barrel, not the $20-25 predicted by these lost troopers. Yo Mish Bro, can you spare me a deflating dime? The strict definition of money is useless anymore. The Shadow Banking system is an actual part of the real world, which you do NOT count.



To the fools, dolts, and morons out there who cling to notions of recovery and Green Shoots, bless your heart. Hope has clouded your minds. Once more you believe the liars and purveyors of propaganda, after being nearly fatally burned. You must believe in the Easter Bunny, Santa Claus, and the Tooth Fairy. You should not be in charge of investment funds, but rather of crayon supply cabinets and Beanie Baby collector items. The Case Shiller housing price index this week reported a 19.1% annual decline in 1Q2009 from Q1 last year. Foreclosures in April were up 32% over last year, as the nightmare continues. That is 1 in 374 homes with mortgages in America in some process of foreclosure. A relentless decline in home prices erases household wealth, and the source of consumer spending. Consumer confidence is ephemeral and baseless.

The mortgage rate has just gone above the pre-March levels, when the USFed announced they would monetize $1050 billion in both USTreasury Bonds and USAgency Mortgage Bonds. The benefit has been erased. Today’s underwater mortgage is tomorrow’s foreclosure, made worse by job losses. The FDIC this week reported a 25% rise in non-current loans in 1Q2009 from Q4 of last year. Greater bank losses will come, much like floods follow hurricanes. And lastly, give credit to the USGovt statrats in their busy laboratories. They decided to ramp up the Q2 Gross Domestic Product by including all USGovt rescue funds for the big banks, including the diverse funds from the many liquidity facilities. All those funds will go directly into the GDP for Q2 as a special line item. Expect a miraculous economic recovery in the second quarter, based in vapor. The stock rally since March was based in accounting fraud. These are true American innovations, but too bad they are not exportable! They are not, since they have no value.

RELOCATION IN SPECTACULAR COSTA RICA
Living Costa Rica is an online magazine about many aspects of life in the tiny country perched strategically on the land bridge between North and South America. The magazine is a great means not only to learn about Costa Rica, but also to take actual steps on relocation. It has become an excellent tool to find important information about the country, a true tropical paradise in terms of nature and legal alternatives. Property, banks, natural wonders, climate, and demographics are covered. As from May 27th, visit their May-July 2009 issue with interesting information about lifestyle and options. The usual feature is the truly spectacular Central Pacific coast. Visit www.livingcr.com.

CREDIT CRISIS AUTOPSY
Trace Mayer comes to the gold community with a different slant and background. He has a law scholar with emphasis on the Constitution, especially how it applies to the gold and currency topics. In his e-book entitled “The Great Credit Contraction” one can read about the historical significance of a crisis that will surely reshape the world. The global economy is built upon a currency whose illusion is evaporating before our very eyes. This book is an autopsy of the current worldwide systems and begins with financial history, discusses the current great deflationary credit contraction, projects the future environment, and concludes with suggestions on how to generate and preserve wealth in this challenging time. An appendix analyzes important topics. (CLICK HERE TO ORDER)

THE HAT TRICK LETTERPROFITS IN THE CURRENT CRISIS.

From subscribers and readers:

At least 30 recently on correct forecasts regarding the bailout parade, numerous nationalization deals such as for Fannie Mae and the grand Mortgage Rescue.

“I have found your commentary to be excellent in helping to insulate my clients from much of the malfeasance and market manipulations that occur in our markets by avoiding certain sectors such as banking even when all of the commentary says how well they are doing. You have been proven over the years to be very accurate.” - (RickW from Iowa)

“A few years ago, I was amazed at some of the stuff you were writing. Over time your calls have proved to be correct, on the money and frighteningly true. The information you report is provocative and prime time that we are not getting in the news. I was shocked when I read that the banks were going to fail in one of your prescient newsletters.” - (DorisR in Pennsylvania)

“You seem to have it nailed. I used to think you were paranoid. Now I think you are psychic!” - (ShawnU in Ontario)

“Your unmatched ability to find and unmask a string of significant nuggets, and to wrap them into a meaningful mosaic of the treachery-*****-stupidity which comprise our current financial system, make yours the most informative and valuable of investment letters. You have refined the ‘bits-and-pieces’ approach into an awesome intellectual tool.” - (RobertN in Texas)

by Jim Willie CB

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红色练习本[发送私信] Re: Comex压制金价已近极限，6月期权面临重大违约，黄金可能会有强势逐渐发动？ [5/31/2009 10:02:34 AM]
以下是引用 诺日朗 于 5/29/2009 1:08:28 PM 的发言：
以下是引用 godmanbj 于 5/29/2009 12:34:41 PM 的发言：
博主过去两年一直是黄金价格走势的反向标，不知道这次能否同样威力。
有你这种质疑精神的人是不多的
支持！
[引用] [支持] [反对] [删除] [加入黑名单]
国_国[发送私信] Re: Comex压制金价已近极限，6月期权面临重大违约，黄金可能会有强势逐渐发动？ [5/31/2009 9:54:13 AM]
以下是引用 诺日朗 于 5/29/2009 1:08:28 PM 的发言：
以下是引用 godmanbj 于 5/29/2009 12:34:41 PM 的发言：
博主过去两年一直是黄金价格走势的反向标，不知道这次能否同样威力。
有你这种质疑精神的人是不多的
支持！
[引用] [支持] [反对] [删除] [加入黑名单]
鱼游之乐[发送私信] Re: Comex压制金价已近极限，6月期权面临重大违约，黄金可能会有强势逐渐发动？ [5/31/2009 7:38:30 AM]
以下是引用 hotpine 于 5/30/2009 6:51:17 PM 的发言：
火山暴发的临界点正来临！
全球各国都在签货币互换协议，起图摆脱美元的限制，而全球70%的美元都在美国以外，这些美元会回流美国，加上美国欠下的
巨额债务，需印大量钞票逃避，今年印的钞票超过去十年印的，通涨超过了美国债利率，美国债将崩盘，美元
也将崩盘，此时人们将恐惧的扑向黄金，保全自己的劳动所得。火山暴发的临界点正来临！---可能你会看到一麻袋美元只够
吃个快餐，中国万亿美元外汇只能按吨当废纸卖，可惜这些外汇都存在美国，连卖废纸的机会都没有！
支持！
[引用] [支持] [反对] [删除] [加入黑名单]
hotpine[发送私信] Re: Comex压制金价已近极限，6月期权面临重大违约，黄金可能会有强势逐渐发动？ [5/30/2009 6:51:17 PM]
火山暴发的临界点正来临！
全球各国都在签货币互换协议，起图摆脱美元的限制，而全球70%的美元都在美国以外，这些美元会回流美国，加上美国欠下的
巨额债务，需印大量钞票逃避，今年印的钞票超过去十年印的，通涨超过了美国债利率，美国债将崩盘，美元
也将崩盘，此时人们将恐惧的扑向黄金，保全自己的劳动所得。火山暴发的临界点正来临！---可能你会看到一麻袋美元只够
吃个快餐，中国万亿美元外汇只能按吨当废纸卖，可惜这些外汇都存在美国，连卖废纸的机会都没有！
[引用] [支持] [反对] [删除] [加入黑名单]
hotpine[发送私信] Re: Comex压制金价已近极限，6月期权面临重大违约，黄金可能会有强势逐渐发动？ [5/30/2009 6:50:22 PM]
火山暴发的临界点正来临！
全球各国都在签货币互换协议，起图摆脱美元的限制，而全球70%的美元都在美国以外，这些美元会回流美国，加上美国欠下的
巨额债务，需印大量钞票逃避，今年印的钞票超过去十年印的，通涨超过了美国债利率，美国债将崩盘，美元
也将崩盘，此时人们将恐惧的扑向黄金，保全自己的劳动所得。火山暴发的临界点正来临！---可能你会看到一麻袋美元只够
吃个快餐，中国万亿美元外汇只能按吨当废纸卖，可惜这些外汇都存在美国，连卖废纸的机会都没有！
[引用] [支持] [反对] [删除] [加入黑名单]
宠辱不惊花开花落[发送私信] Re: Comex压制金价已近极限，6月期权面临重大违约，黄金可能会有强势逐渐发动？ [5/30/2009 4:48:49 PM]
以下是引用 godmanbj 于 5/29/2009 12:34:41 PM 的发言：
博主过去两年一直是黄金价格走势的反向标，不知道这次能否同样威力。
反对！
[引用] [支持] [反对] [删除] [加入黑名单]
waterinsea[发送私信] Re: Comex压制金价已近极限，6月期权面临重大违约，黄金可能会有强势逐渐发动？ [5/30/2009 1:42:33 AM]
除非美国马上破产，或者下周第三次世界大战爆发，否则我觉得现在这个时候还是要谨慎看待黄金这波上涨
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中华鱼[发送私信] Re: Comex压制金价已近极限，6月期权面临重大违约，黄金可能会有强势逐渐发动？ [5/29/2009 5:44:54 PM]
今天金价突破970了
美元指数跌破80
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诺日朗[发送私信] Re: Comex压制金价已近极限，6月期权面临重大违约，黄金可能会有强势逐渐发动？ [5/29/2009 1:14:15 PM]
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诺日朗[发送私信] Re: Comex压制金价已近极限，6月期权面临重大违约，黄金可能会有强势逐渐发动？ [5/29/2009 1:08:28 PM]
以下是引用 godmanbj 于 5/29/2009 12:34:41 PM 的发言：
博主过去两年一直是黄金价格走势的反向标，不知道这次能否同样威力。
有你这种质疑精神的人是不多的
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